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Indicator name 

Protected Area Connectedness Index

What does this data layer represent? 

The Protected Area Connectedness Index represents connectivity among terrestrial protected areas. It integrates information from remotely-sensed forest change and land cover change datasets with a global protected area database.

What does a trend in this indicator tell us? 

This indicator ranges from 0-1, with values closer to 1 indicating land that is well-connected to other protected areas and areas of intact native vegetation, while values closer to 0 indicate land in less connected protected areas. A decrease in the Protected Area Connectedness Index reflects disconnection between protected areas, which can be symptomatic of loss of protected areas, loss of intact vegetation, or fragmentation among protected areas/intact vegetation.

How was the indicator developed? 

The Protected Area Connectedness Index value of each protected cell in relation to other cells that are protected or contain primary vegetation in the surrounding non-protected landscape is scored using the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) technique described by Drielsma et al. (2007). Each of the protected cells of interest is first assigned a "benefit" value, representing the proportion of that cell included in protected areas or covered by primary vegetation (outside reserves) (Santini et al. 2015; UNEP-WCMC 2016; WDPA). Each cell in the surrounding landscape is also assigned a "cost" value, indicating permeability to dispersal through that cell, scaled from 0.1 for cells with no protection or primary vegetation through to 1.0 for cells fully protected or covered by primary vegetation. The primary vegetation is based on statistical downscaling of remotely-sensed MODIS land cover data (Friedl et al. 2010; Hoskins et al. 2016), abiotic environmental attributes, and Hansen et al.'s (2013) Landsat-based Global Forest Change dataset.

The connectedness of each protected cell is calculated as a weighted sum of the benefit values of all cells in the surrounding landscape weighted by the probability of dispersal associated with the least-cost path between the protected cell of interest. This probability of dispersal is a function of the permeability values of cells along the least-cost path (Drielsma et al. 2007; Santini et al. 2015). The resulting weighted sum for each protected cell is expressed as a proportion of the maximum possible sum if that cell were surrounded by a continuous expanse of protected cells within a 500-km radius, thereby yielding a connectedness score for that cell between 0 and 1.  The Protected Area Connectedness Index is then derived by summing these scores across all protected cells within the unit, and dividing this sum by the number of protected cells, thereby expressing overall connectedness as a proportion, also ranging between 0 and 1.

Limitations and caveats 

The Protected Area Connectedness Index does not currently consider the suitability of intermediate habitat on a path, or the complexities of terrain (e.g. mountain ridges). The geometry of the index favours large protected areas with internal connectedness, which is consistent with theoretical considerations.

Where can I get more information about this indicator? 

Indicator Description:

GEO BON (2015) Global Biodiversity Change Indicators. Version 1.2. Group on Earth Observations Biodiversity Observation Network Secretariat. Leipzig. http://www.geobon.org/Downloads/brochures/2015/GBCI_Version1.2_low.pdf

Underpinning Approach/References:

Drielsma, M., Ferrier, S. and Manion, G. (2007) A raster-based technique for analysing habitat configuration: the cost-benefit approach. Ecological Modelling 202: 324-332.

Friedl, M. A., Sulla-Menashe, D., Tan, B., Schneider, A., Ramankutty, N., Sibley, A., Huang, X. (2010). MODIS Collection 5 global land cover: Algorithm refinements and characterization of new datasets. Remote Sensing of Environment 114: 168-182.

Hansen, M.C., Potapov, P.V., Moore, R., Hancher, M., Turubanova, S.A., Tyukavina, A., Thau, D., Stehman, S.V., Goetz, S.J., Loveland, T.R., Kommareddy, A., Egorov, A., Chini, L., Justice, C.O., Townshend, J.R.G. (2013) High-resolution global maps of 21st-Century forest cover change. Science 342: 850-853.

Hoskins, A.J., Bush, A., Gilmore, J., Harwood, T., Hudson, L.N., Ware, C., Williams, K.J., Ferrier, S. (2016) Downscaling land-use data to provide global 30" estimates of five land-use classes. Ecology and Evolution 6: 3040-3055.

Santini, L., Saura, S., Rondinini, C. (2015) Connectivity of the global network of protected areas. Diversity and Distributions 22: 199-211.

UNEP-WCMC (2016). World Database on Protected Areas User Manual 1.3. UNEP-WCMC: Cambridge, UK. Available at: http://wcmc.io/WDPA_Manual

Data sources 

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO)

References 

Drielsma, M., Ferrier, S. and Manion, G. (2007). A raster-based technique for analysing habitat configuration: the cost-benefit approach. Ecological Modelling, 202, 324-332.

Friedl, M. A., Sulla-Menashe, D., Tan, B., Schneider, A., Ramankutty, N., Sibley, A., Huang, X. (2010). MODIS Collection 5 global land cover: Algorithm refinements and characterization of new datasets. Remote Sensing of Environment, 114, 168-182.

Hansen, M.C., Potapov, P.V., Moore, R., Hancher, M., Turubanova, S.A., Tyukavina, A., Thau, D., Stehman, S.V., Goetz, S.J., Loveland, T.R., Kommareddy, A., Egorov, A., Chini, L., Justice, C.O., Townshend, J.R.G. (2013). High-resolution global maps of 21st-Century forest cover change. Science, 342, 850-853.

Hoskins, A.J., Bush, A., Gilmore, J., Harwood, T., Hudson, L.N., Ware, C., Williams, K.J., Ferrier, S. (2016). Downscaling land-use data to provide global 30" estimates of five land-use classes. Ecology and Evolution, 6, 3040-3055.

Santini, L., Saura, S., Rondinini, C. (2015). Connectivity of the global network of protected areas. Diversity and Distributions, 22, 199-211.

UNEP-WCMC (2016). World Database on Protected Areas User Manual 1.3. UNEP-WCMC: Cambridge, UK. Available at: http://wcmc.io/WDPA_Manual